This is the first measure of likely voters in these swing states and cannot be compared with earlier surveys of registered voters. Matching Obama against Romney in each of these key states - no one has won the White House since 1960 without taking at least two of them - shows:
- Florida: Obama edges Romney 51- 45 percent;
- Ohio: Obama over Romney by a slim 50 - 44 percent;
- Pennsylvania: Obama tops Romney 53 - 42 percent.
The Florida number surprises me a bit.